Overview of Aces vs Lynx Matchup

The season has been full of great games, but chances are that one of the most compelling rivalries in the WNBA this season was the game between the Minnesota Lynx and Las Vegas Aces, which involves two major championship franchises.

The matchup has been defined by playoff theatrics, MVP type play, and play styles that are in stark contrast of one another which provide plenty of reasons to tune into each game. The powerful defensive prowess of the Lynx is the complete opposite of the high scoring offense of the Aces making this match up a thing of tension and at the same time a producer of some of the most fantastic moments in the league.

The game is more than the ordinary season stakes. These two teams often find themselves in discussions about WNBA Finals and in 2024, the Lynx were in the championship match, followed by the Aces winning two consecutive titles in 2022 and 2023. As these two teams match up their games tend to be previews of post season matchups. For more infornation or insights you can visit deep dive picks.

Current Season Records and Western Conference Standings

Although a minor setback was suffered when the Minnesota Lynx lost seven games and won six consecutively making its win-loss statistic now read 23-9, this did not subdue it in August 2025, as it stands supreme in the WNBA being the best team with a top-level record of 23-5, and the team leading the Western Conference.

It is particularly true at home as they are 15-1 at Target Center. The Lynx have created a large cushion in the standing therefore favoring them as the best playoff position. Las Vegas Aces are trying to remain on the list of the champions with a 14-13 score as they rank fourth in the Western Conference.

It will be a dip in their dominating seasons as champions but the team with the Aces is not one to be messed with due to the experience in the core of the team, topped off with the three-time MVP lead by Aja Wilson. The difference between the franchises is brought out by the gap in standings as they go different ways in 2025.

Historical Significance of the Rivalry

The past trend in the competition of these teams bears testimony of Minnesota dominance. Since 2005, 82 games have been played between the two teams, in which the Lynx leads with 54 to 28. This has been largely attributed to the title winning years of Minnesota during the 2010s when they won four titles in seven year span (2011, 2013, 2015, 2017).

More recently, however, the Lynx still enjoys its dominance as it won four of the previous five games. The most recent example was in a 109-78 home blowout in July 2025 when the current disparity between the two teams was just reiterated. This scenario brings a sense of urgency to regain the ground of the competition to Las Vegas.

Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx

A’ja Wilson MVP Campaign and Season Stats

Even though the Aces are in the rut the team is going through, Aja Wilson is showing once again why she is one of the best players in the WNBA. In 2025, the triple MVP is playing 22.1 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 3.4 assists in a game. These stats, though, are a slight step down in performance compared to her All-time MVP campaign in 2024, but Wilson is the heart and soul of the Aces offense and the only hope they can have in scoring another title.

She is efficient as well with a shooting percentage of 47.9 and playing a central part in offense and defence. She is one of the most well-rounded players in the league because of her scoring, ability to stretch the floor and rim protection. Nevertheless, the lack of consistency of the team supporting cast has put the burden on Wilson to have to shoulder the burden.

Aces Championship Pedigree and Recent Form

The Aces will have the 2022 and 2023 championship experience. That pedigree remains relevant despite the new challenges that have been introduced in 2025. Even under head coach Becky Hammon, the roster remains oriented towards the style that she encourages, which entails professional ball movement and tempo, although the loss of many important players that the team had during the previous seasons has impacted the rhythm and the performance as well.

The Aces are 6-4 in the last 10 matches and they are proving to be the team we used to see in past. However, their 7-9/road also shows that they have problems. Such discrepancies have made their betting odds to decline by a long shot, in that their championship odds have declined to +2000 as compared to their preseason odds that were standing strong at +400.

Key Role Players and Bench Depth

• Jackie Young ranks second in Aces scoring with 17.0 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game.

• Her versatility allows Coach Becky Hammon to be flexible with different lineups.

• The team needs stronger contributions from bench players and role players during games.

• Chelsea Gray has returned to action after a long-term injury that kept her out for nearly two years.

• Gray isn’t at full strength but stays vital in tight games for her leadership and awareness.

• Despite Gray’s return, the Aces still lack bench support against top teams.

Napheesa Collier’s Breakout Season

In 2025, Napheesa Collier is now on a higher level, and she has led the league in scoring with 23.8 points on 51.7-percent shooting. The 6 foot 1 inch forward has emerged as the obvious MVP choice and odds are now down as low as -1000 in his favor. She has an overall game that features 7.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists in every appearance.

The achievements of Minnesota can be attributed to the performance of Collier on both sides. She broke a record of the All-Star showcase when she scored 36 points in her 36-point game, demonstrating that she does not need the shadows. The ex-UConn great has turned into one of the all round single stars of the league.

Courtney Williams’ Leadership Impact

Before that, Courtney Williams has been able to contribute both veteran leadership and production, averaging 13.8 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 6.4 assists per game. Her death and decision making has been vital to the Lynx attack and her big game experience brings with it an added element in high pressure situations.

The personal best of Williams is 23 points, which she highlighted in the victorious streak against Las Vegas. The control of tempo and developing intelligent plays has allowed her to become the ideal complement to Collier formed in the backcourt.

Lynx Defensive Identity and Home Court Advantage

The Minnesota defense has recorded the best in the league and they have conceded an average of 76.0 points. Target Center is also one of the toughest arenas to visit since they possess the best defensive rating in the league at home (91.6). This backbone defense is what gives them a 23-5 record.

The 15-1 record at home exemplifies how strong their defense and crowd is as well as how they feel at their home. Such domination in their house will prove crucial in their quest to win their maiden title since 2017.

Aces vs Lynx Head-to-Head Statistics and Records

All-Time Series Record

Minnesota has won 54 out of 82 games since 2005 and have an overall record of 54-28. This superiority is then a testament to their 10-year stint as the best franchise of the WNBA. Lynx have followed the same pattern in the recent seasons, and beat Las Vegas on regular occasions in big games.

The average of the scores in these games is in favor of Minnesota who have managed to post 81.0 points per game as compared to 77.1 points by the Las Vegas. The figures reveal how Minnesota has continually had an advantage in its offensive attack and game-manship.

Recent Meeting Results and Trends

In the space of the previous 5 games, the Lynx have managed to pull off four victories against the Aces. Their most recent victory came July 25, 2025, 109-78 target Center victory, which was the biggest Las Vegas loss of the year. The game was an eye opener to the current performance of the two teams.

The tempo has also been crucial in the hands of Minnesota. Without AJ Wilson, the Lynx managed to win the June 17 game with a score of 76-62, which is evidence that even when the team is deprived of a player, they can find ways to win the match against the Aces.

Home vs Away Performance Splits

Home-court advantage has played a major role in this rivalry. Minnesota’s 15-1 home record in 2025 includes the recent rout of Las Vegas. Target Center continues to be a hostile environment for visitors due to the Lynx’s defense and fan support.

Las Vegas’s 7-9 road record has hurt them in high-profile games. Their inability to bring their home performance on the road remains a critical issue, especially in key rivalry matchups like this one.

Last Game Recap: Lynx 109-78 Aces

The July 25 game played in Target Center stands out the Minnesota dominance at present. Napheesa Collier recorded 25 points and 9 rebounds, and Courtney Williams put up 23 points on 10 of 12 attempts. Minnesota had a higher percentage of 54.4 of shots as compared to that of Las Vegas of 38 percent.

Minnesota had a 51-35 prefix in the first half, as the team has looser defense and better ball movements. Las Vegas failed to maintain consistent offense as none of their players posted more than 15 points. The defeat reduced the Aces to 12-13 as the Lynx moved on to 22-4 and an increase of their home record win streak to 14 games.

Player Stats Comparison: Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces

Star Player Matchup: Wilson vs Collier

Scoring and Rebounding Battle

Aja Wilson and Napheesa Collier round up one of the most thrilling player- player matchups in the league. Collier has a higher score per game at 23.8 points as compared to Wilson 22.1. The more Collier uses and the higher efficiency makes her win in points.

Wilson is the rebounding leader as he captures 9.1 boards per game, whereas Collier has 7.7. Wilson has an advantage over the other player in terms of positioning over the glass. Their different styles lead to intriguing battles whenever they share the court.

MVP Race Implications

Collier now leads the MVP race with strong odds at -1000, while Wilson’s chances have dropped to +5000. This shift reflects both individual performance and team success, with Collier’s team leading the league.

Wilson’s three MVPs keep her in the conversation, but the Aces’ struggles and voters’ focus on team success have hurt her case. Collier’s consistency and historic All-Star showing make her the clear favorite this season.

Supporting Cast Analysis

Guard Play: Williams vs Young/Gray

Courtney Williams is a stabilizing presence in Minnesota and has good stats, and efficient playmaking. Jackie Young also tops Las Vegas in backcourt points, but another aspect of the game puts Williams ahead, as she has a better assist to TOW ratio.

The presence of Chelsea Gray increases the value of the Aces but she is yet to regain full strength. Minnesota’s backcourt currently offers more balance and reliability.

Bench Production Comparison

One strength that Minnesota has is its bench, and players like Alanna Smith and Bridget Carleton have given solid contributions. The Lynx maintain strong performance even when their starters sit.

Las Vegas has lacked that same consistency, often relying heavily on starters. When fatigue or fouls affect the lineup, this depth issue becomes a serious problem.

Aces vs Lynx Predictions and Expert Analysis

Current Betting Odds

The next time they face each other, Minnesota is favored by 5.5 points on the road and the moneyline is -240. These are the odds that indicate their domination over Las Vegas in the whole season.

Its over/under is 164.5 indicating a low scoring contest influenced by the defensive capabilities of both teams. In nine of the past games, the Aces have the under coming through.

Las Vegas has been unable to fulfill the spread at home (4-9) as compared to its match at home (8-6). Being deeper and more consistent, the Lynx are viewed by bookmakers and pundits as favorites.

The depth and defense of Minnesota as well as the play of Collier in MVP caliber are seen by the experts as the major reasons in their projected win. Wilson will have to play a massive game to keep the game tight and Las Vegas will require role players to give it fire when it is unexpected.

The historical advantage lies with the side of Minnesota, which has won 4 of the past games. The championship experience of the Aces cannot be ignored but the fact that they are in an inconsistent form has made them a risky wager when going up against top teams.

The title odds of the Lynx have since improved to +175, the same as New York and Las Vegas has fallen to +2000. The variation of the odds signifies the extent of deviation of the teams over the season.

Prediction of an Expert: Minnesota Lynx will win and will cover the spread. The Lynx will win by 15-20 points and the game will not go over the total because both teams are going to play strong defense.

FAQs

When is the next Aces vs Lynx game scheduled?

Check the official WNBA schedule or team websites for the latest date, time, and venue details for the upcoming matchup.

Where can I watch the Aces vs Lynx live?

You can stream the game live through WNBA League Pass, ESPN platforms, or your local sports network depending on broadcast rights.

How have the Aces and Lynx performed head to head this season?

Both teams bring strong rosters. Review their current season stats and previous match results to see how they’ve matched up so far.